Hey Alf, a very interesting piece of analysis. However one questions is bothering me here. In the long term analysis you did not mention a potential military conflict with Russia. Many analysts and military officials warn that the risk of an open military confrontation with Russia within next 3-5 years is constantly increasing. Poland would be inevitable in a crashzone. What is your take on this?
Nice article. Obviously out of the scope of this article, but I wonder where US would be plotted...just for comparison.
thank you for the nice analysis. do you think the three countries you picked for long term equity investment will also do well currency-wise?
MY Ringgit has depreciated -32% against the dollar over the last decade -37% since 2011. Currency hedging is likely necessary for EM equity investing.
https://wolfcourse.com/products/bond-market-course-by-the-macro-compass/
Te lo segnalo, non credo sia "legit"
Hey Alf, a very interesting piece of analysis. However one questions is bothering me here. In the long term analysis you did not mention a potential military conflict with Russia. Many analysts and military officials warn that the risk of an open military confrontation with Russia within next 3-5 years is constantly increasing. Poland would be inevitable in a crashzone. What is your take on this?
Interesting analysis.
But to be honest, if one understands the macro like you do, why bother?
You can get high octane returns simply TRADING large cap names in the sectors/themes that exhibit a trend. No liquidity risk and no currency risk.
As always, excellent insights and analysis Alf!
Nice article Alf. May I check what source you use for country wide equity market valuations (as per the axis)
Dankon
Why Poland over Czechia in the top 3?
Gratulon