I would very much like to see a "long-only ETF portfolio with a medium/long term horizon (1y+) and perhaps use as a benchmark a 60/40 portfolio to measure performance"
I wonder if you are too optimistic about inflation. Even though the Fed is trying to tighten it is not clear that inflation will respond. Much of energy inflation precedes Ukraine and is driven by the regulatory hell the administration is posing on US energy production and not demand.
Hi Alf, I also like the idea of the long-only ETF portfolio! A question in the meantime: if you had not yet invested and considering the current Quadrant 4 situation described in your article, would you wait out the hiking steps before entering the market (long)? Thanks
Alf, love this report and your framework is great. I would love to see tracking an ETF portfolio - as I am attempting to invest in this way.
Rather than a 1 dimensional long list of long / short ETFs; I would love to see this structured with balanced allocations in mind. For example, in Quadrant 4, what general allocations should be to bonds and bond proxies? 40% Would this be different in the other Quadrants?
Also how to manage risks with position sizing? For example, if Quadrant 4, SPY puts (or VXX) could be a volatility allocation, but certainly its not a great idea to risk more than x% of the portfolio on a single trade.
Would really appreciate long-only ETF portfolio. I am not a sophisticated investor and keeping it simple would be great. When I do short it is w/ short ETF's so not sure if that is something you would consider adding as well. Love your work - there are only 3 folks I follow and respect and you are definitely 1 of them.
Excellent post as always Alf. I am sure you are aware how most investors are short duration here and positioned for higher equity prices so your contrarian call has even more value. Would love to see a 60/40 ETF portfolio. thanks for your work.
Hello Alf, great piece of work. For the ETF long only, there is also value in othe areas (other than US). Would love to see exposure to other regions too ! China Tech for exemple, or EU Defense and Air
By all means a long-only model ETF portfolio is welcome - esp one that takes into account your macro thoughts on how policies will impact markets in the year to come.
I would very much like to see a "long-only ETF portfolio with a medium/long term horizon (1y+) and perhaps use as a benchmark a 60/40 portfolio to measure performance"
Would love to see the long only portfolio!
I wonder if you are too optimistic about inflation. Even though the Fed is trying to tighten it is not clear that inflation will respond. Much of energy inflation precedes Ukraine and is driven by the regulatory hell the administration is posing on US energy production and not demand.
your work is great down to earth and no bullshit
Long-only ETF allocation would be interesting
Hi Alf, I also like the idea of the long-only ETF portfolio! A question in the meantime: if you had not yet invested and considering the current Quadrant 4 situation described in your article, would you wait out the hiking steps before entering the market (long)? Thanks
A "long-only ETF portfolio with a medium/long term horizon" is exactly what I am investing in right now, so I would to see your take on it
Yes, would be interested in the long-only portfolio. It doesn't need to be year plus, would be OK if it changed with cycle needs.
Alf, love this report and your framework is great. I would love to see tracking an ETF portfolio - as I am attempting to invest in this way.
Rather than a 1 dimensional long list of long / short ETFs; I would love to see this structured with balanced allocations in mind. For example, in Quadrant 4, what general allocations should be to bonds and bond proxies? 40% Would this be different in the other Quadrants?
Also how to manage risks with position sizing? For example, if Quadrant 4, SPY puts (or VXX) could be a volatility allocation, but certainly its not a great idea to risk more than x% of the portfolio on a single trade.
Would really appreciate long-only ETF portfolio. I am not a sophisticated investor and keeping it simple would be great. When I do short it is w/ short ETF's so not sure if that is something you would consider adding as well. Love your work - there are only 3 folks I follow and respect and you are definitely 1 of them.
Great blog, read everything you write, a ETF google portfolio is a fab idea!
Great idea.
Excellent post as always Alf. I am sure you are aware how most investors are short duration here and positioned for higher equity prices so your contrarian call has even more value. Would love to see a 60/40 ETF portfolio. thanks for your work.
Hello Alf, great piece of work. For the ETF long only, there is also value in othe areas (other than US). Would love to see exposure to other regions too ! China Tech for exemple, or EU Defense and Air
a lot of this goes over my head by I am learning. Long ETF portfolio would be of interest for sure. Thanks
By all means a long-only model ETF portfolio is welcome - esp one that takes into account your macro thoughts on how policies will impact markets in the year to come.